When Bryan Colangelo drafted Andrea Bargnani, he cringed at the deluge of comparisons made between his #1 pick and Dirk Nowitzki. But let’s take a closer look.
During his rookie campaign, the Mavs forward averaged a paltry 8 points per game. However, the future All-Star would go on to raise his per game scoring average to 24 over an 8-year period, representing an average year-over-year increase of 15% .
During Bargnani’s his last game, the lanky Italian accumulated 4 steals and 17 points on a 1.000 3-point shooting percentage. If we extrapolate these statistics using the humble career trajectory exhibited by Nowitzki, Bargniani can be expected to produce 12 steals and 52 points per game, with a 305% 3-point shooting percentage by 2015.
No wonder Colangelo was so pissed!